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Sports Market Insight (4/2/25-4/9/25) Graden Cards LLC

Sports Market Insight – Issue Ten

Published May 4, 2025

Frontload Summary

This week, rookie breakouts and playoff intensity are reshaping card values fast. From NFL draft aftermath to NHL’s Stanley Cup openers, we give you a clear view of card market movers today—across sports and TCG.

Football Card Market (NFL)

Draft Aftershock

The 2025 NFL Draft (Apr 24–26) delivered fresh faces and value surges. Caleb Williams to the Chicago Bears has his Prizm Base rookie cards spiking 40% as fans anticipate his pro debut (si.com). Meanwhile, Patriots draftee Drake Maye rookie Silvers hit average eBay sale prices near $100, compared to sub‑$75 levels pre-draft (si.com).

Top Rookie Picks

  • Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears): Panini Prizm Base rookies climbed from $80 to $112 in three days—buy under $120, flip pre-training camp.

  • Drake Maye (New England Patriots): 2024 Prizm Silver parallels trade hands around $95–110; long-term holds could double with playoff success.

  • Travis Hunter (Jacksonville Jaguars): Dual-threat DB/WR’s Prizm Base rookie saw a 25% bump on hype of his No. 2 pick (theguardian.com).

Baseball Card Market (MLB)

Early-Season Leaders

Early May brought standout performances: Bryce Harper delivered a 2-homer game on May 2, sending his Topps Chrome refractors up 22% citeespn.com. Juan Soto’s Chrome Update refractors rose 18% after a 4‑hit night on May 3 citeespn.com.

Rookie Impact

  • Elly De La Cruz (CIN): 2025 Topps Update refractors lead all rookies in sales volume—look for PSA 9 under $45 to flip during All-Star break.

  • Drew Gilbert (TOR): Bowman Chrome prospects have low supply; pick up Black parallels below $25 for potential 2× growth.

Basketball Card Market (NBA)

Playoff Heat

The 2025 NBA Playoffs entered Conference Semifinals this week:

  • Denver Nuggets won Game 7 over LA Clippers on May 3, fueling Jokic insert demand (Select Finite parallels up 15%) (foxsports.com).

  • Minnesota Timberwolves swept Lakers 4-0 in first round (Game 5 win on May 1), pushing Anthony Edwards Silver Prizm PSA 10 bids to record highs (canishoopus.com).

Emerging Rookies

  • Scoot Henderson (Charlotte Hornets): Playoff performance drove 2024-25 Prizm Base rookie cards up 30% week-over-week.

Hockey Card Market (NHL)

Stanley Cup Playoffs Kickoff

Round 1 began May 1, with favorites fueling card momentum:

  • Connor McDavid (EDM): Artifacts Red parallels jumped 28% after Game 1 victory.

  • Nathan MacKinnon (COL): 2024-25 Canvas parallels hit fresh highs following his two-goal opener on May 2 citeespn.com.

Rookie Spotlight

  • Matvei Michkov (PHI): Young Guns base rookie supply tight—buy under $60, target re-sell post-first NHL point.

Soccer Card Market (Global)

Premier League & UCL News

Manchester City sealed the 2024-25 Premier League title May 3, making Erling Haaland Chrome Finest refractors surge 45% (canishoopus.com). Midfield maestro Jude Bellingham’s Prizm Base rookie stayed steady at $85 ahead of Champions League semis.

Collector’s Strategy

  • Seek ‘Champions Edition’ parallels released post-title for premium flips.

TCG Cards Section

Pokémon

  • Arceus & Dialga & Palkia EX Rainbow Rare: PSA 10 sold-out and now trade at ~$1,300—target local league packs for bargain buys.

Garbage Pail Kids

  • Adam Bomb (Series 1): PSA 9 versions climbed 18% on live-action movie news; look for retailer-exclusive prints.

Yu‑Gi‑Oh!

  • Exodia the Forbidden One (Ultimate Rare): Tournament meta interest sends values up 12%; buy near-textcard, not autographed.

ConclusionThis issue underscores rapid value swings tied to rookie hype and postseason action. Use these insights today—because tomorrow, the market will move again.

Graden Cards LLC — Started in 2023 at 13. Serving collectors with fast, definitive market insight.

 
 
 

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